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The Myth of the Panicky Individual Investor

In early 2009 I had one of the most exciting weekends of my professional life. Over the course of the financial crisis I was granted access to the database of […]

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The Historic Sell-Off & a Game of Expectations

To put the speed of this plunge into perspective, the fastest peak-to-trough bear market that saw losses in the area of 30% or worse occurred in 1933. That one took […]

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Losing Perspective Because “This Time is Different”

Video #2 of Mo’s daily video updates:

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An empty restaurant near Grand Central Terminal in New York on Monday. Eating out is one type of spending sure to drop sharply as communities struggle to reduce the spread of coronavirus
One Simple Idea That Explains Why the Economy Is in Great Danger

To understand why the world economy is in grave peril because of the spread of coronavirus, it helps to grasp one idea that is at once blindingly obvious and sneakily […]

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Worried looking trader on the floor of the NYSE
It may feel like 2008 all over again, but here’s how the coronavirus crisis is different

A plunging stock market. The widening shadow of recession. Fed interest rate cuts and government stimulus. It’s beginning to feel a lot like 2008 again. And not in a good […]

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Have We Hit Bottom?

Video #1 of Mo’s daily video updates:

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Something Weird Is Happening on Wall Street, and Not Just the Stock Sell-Off

It has been an unsettling week on global financial markets, and not just because the stock market has fallen sharply enough to bring a decade-plus bull market to an end.   […]

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Deep Basin – Oil Price War and Its Implications

This week, I’ll be recording and immediately releasing a series of conversations on business and market reactions to the spread of coronavirus. The conversations will be on oil and gas, […]

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European Man in Crowd
Coronavirus: The Real Risks and Human Biases Behind the Panic

This week, I’d like to use coronavirus as a case study to talk about the difference between systemic risk and individual risk, why some people are way more worried about […]

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Wolf at Sunset
Coronavirus is the Wolf on the Loose

In Aesop’s fable about the boy who cried “Wolf!”, the point of the tale is that eventually there was a wolf, but the boy was not believed because he had […]

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